Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 104.077743 118.808383 135.656449 156.524067 181.916105 212.124985 2.512621e+02
2025-04-27 87.823222 107.692061 132.790044 167.539225 215.602673 281.662303 3.829910e+02
2025-05-04 74.774848 95.776402 123.997699 166.012536 229.459029 326.305809 4.958225e+02
2025-05-11 66.752916 88.468418 119.119946 167.554801 246.382200 378.520765 6.406886e+02
2025-05-18 59.672054 81.172492 112.697538 164.926424 255.305779 419.404581 7.839446e+02
2025-05-25 55.008282 76.630433 109.467162 166.352831 270.825009 476.383332 9.913013e+02
2025-06-01 50.810130 72.208250 105.685227 165.958921 282.643349 529.794735 1.225348e+03
2025-06-08 46.899401 67.764725 101.231477 163.499004 289.709909 575.374348 1.473180e+03
2025-06-15 45.083468 66.421934 101.672463 169.907117 316.275483 676.833998 1.992963e+03
2025-06-22 41.288264 61.478800 95.376924 162.454700 311.044398 695.665121 2.235864e+03
2025-06-29 38.935339 58.725665 92.613986 161.519569 320.442254 758.890259 2.749009e+03
2025-07-06 37.084107 56.654411 90.835116 162.278773 334.074576 841.342846 3.494864e+03
2025-07-13 35.964956 55.920486 91.741473 169.575407 368.319657 1017.880433 5.298573e+03
2025-07-20 35.409747 56.151536 94.552108 181.800227 421.015377 1308.450306 9.418442e+03
2025-07-27 33.395657 53.552032 91.533523 180.097055 433.442115 1450.671472 1.316968e+04
2025-08-03 31.932371 51.832420 90.064122 181.817013 457.218678 1671.070290 2.069281e+04
2025-08-10 30.178887 49.424168 86.928349 178.886152 465.159792 1823.066517 2.985019e+04
2025-08-17 28.986211 47.984173 85.652338 180.476501 489.458575 2101.781337 5.250177e+04
2025-08-24 27.727621 46.318698 83.724405 180.037267 506.639204 2365.516848 9.385853e+04
2025-08-31 26.394728 44.413197 81.096491 177.295183 514.420770 2581.129808 1.652934e+05
2025-09-07 25.899725 44.121889 81.975506 184.441500 565.026134 3242.342474 7.062092e+05
2025-09-14 24.350645 41.618325 77.681299 176.131551 547.627596 3264.751780 1.149550e+06
2025-09-21 23.410120 40.290109 75.948826 175.089802 562.299397 3652.435397 5.950812e+06